Macro Monitor
日元、黄金与美元宏观监控
这里是 Panda Journal Macro 系统总入口，用于汇总日元、黄金、美元指数、 美债收益率与美日利差的宏观监控结果，并连接到行情、趋势、风险、信号、 历史和排名等专题页面。
数据日期：2026-08-05
市场状态灯
Market Status
🟠 高风险
风险指数
73
/ 100
市场风险明显上升，USD/JPY、美日利差和美元指数需要持续观察。
宏观风险指数
Macro Risk Score
73
/ 100
当前风险等级
高风险
该指数综合参考 USD/JPY、美日利差、DXY 与黄金价格。 分数越高，说明日元贬值压力、美元强势和避险波动风险越明显。
USD/JPY 最近走势
Gold 黄金最近走势
美日利差最近走势
今日市场概览
USD/JPY
157.77
美元兑日元
较上一条：↑ +0.40
Gold
$4128.60
黄金 XAU/USD
较上一条：↑ +21.60
DXY
99.88
美元指数
较上一条：↓ -0.11
US 10Y
4.63%
美国10年期收益率
JP 10Y
1.00%
日本10年期收益率
美日利差
3.63%
US10Y - JP10Y
较上一条：↓ -0.06
风险仪表盘
日元风险
★★★★☆
Medium-high risk: yen is clearly weak
黄金风险
★★★☆☆
高位震荡，关注美元与美债收益率
美元风险
★★★☆☆
美元仍有支撑，但上涨动能需观察
未来30天预测
日元上涨概率
35%
日元继续走弱概率
65%
USD/JPY 预测区间
156 ~ 163
AI研究报告
Macro Risk Score: 73 / 100 Market Status: 高风险 Current USD/JPY is 157.77. Gold is 4128.60. DXY is 99.88. US 10Y yield is about 4.63%. Japan 10Y yield is temporarily recorded as 1.00%. The US-Japan 10Y yield spread is about 3.63%. Risk level: Medium-high risk: yen is clearly weak.
最近30次宏观记录
| 日期 | USD/JPY | Gold | DXY | US10Y | JP10Y | 利差 | 风险 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | 157.766 | $4128.60 | 99.882 | 4.63% | 1.00% | 3.63% | Medium-high risk: yen is clearly weak |
| 2026-08-04 | 157.369 | $4107.00 | 99.991 | 4.69% | 1.00% | 3.69% | Medium-high risk: yen is clearly weak |
| 2026-08-03 | 157.722 | $4125.90 | 99.717 | 4.75% | 1.00% | 3.75% | Medium-high risk: yen is clearly weak |
| 2026-08-02 | 157.400 | $4107.00 | 99.803 | 4.75% | 1.00% | 3.75% | Medium-high risk: yen is clearly weak |
| 2026-08-01 | 157.400 | $4098.60 | 99.803 | 4.75% | 1.00% | 3.75% | Medium-high risk: yen is clearly weak |
| 2026-07-31 | 159.848 | $4169.90 | 99.969 | 4.66% | 1.00% | 3.66% | Medium-high risk: yen is clearly weak |
| 2026-07-30 | 163.356 | $4152.80 | 100.802 | 4.62% | 1.00% | 3.62% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-29 | 163.847 | $4016.50 | 101.393 | 4.60% | 1.00% | 3.60% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-28 | 163.726 | $4074.70 | 101.514 | 4.64% | 1.00% | 3.64% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-27 | 163.684 | $4093.70 | 101.304 | 4.68% | 1.00% | 3.68% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-26 | 163.791 | $4070.80 | 101.465 | 4.68% | 1.00% | 3.68% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-25 | 163.791 | $4055.70 | 101.465 | 4.68% | 1.00% | 3.68% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-24 | 163.837 | $4052.40 | 101.437 | 4.70% | 1.00% | 3.70% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-23 | 163.087 | $4127.20 | 101.141 | 4.66% | 1.00% | 3.66% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-22 | 163.210 | $4082.90 | 101.192 | 4.63% | 1.00% | 3.63% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-21 | 162.492 | $4005.70 | 100.999 | 4.60% | 1.00% | 3.60% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-20 | 162.502 | $4001.30 | 100.845 | 4.54% | 1.00% | 3.54% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-19 | 162.353 | $4018.80 | 100.755 | 4.54% | 1.00% | 3.54% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-18 | 162.353 | $4023.00 | 100.755 | 4.54% | 1.00% | 3.54% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-17 | 162.357 | $3978.60 | 100.708 | 4.57% | 1.00% | 3.57% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-16 | 162.053 | $4063.30 | 100.473 | 4.54% | 1.00% | 3.54% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-15 | 162.174 | $4059.10 | 100.915 | 4.58% | 1.00% | 3.58% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-14 | 162.400 | $4002.10 | 101.277 | 4.61% | 1.00% | 3.61% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-13 | 161.932 | $4082.30 | 101.121 | 4.57% | 1.00% | 3.57% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-12 | 161.672 | $4113.70 | 100.965 | 4.57% | 1.00% | 3.57% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-11 | 161.672 | $4128.90 | 100.965 | 4.57% | 1.00% | 3.57% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-10 | 162.365 | $4131.50 | 100.937 | 4.54% | 1.00% | 3.54% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-09 | 162.540 | $4084.80 | 101.066 | 4.57% | 1.00% | 3.57% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-08 | 162.335 | $4113.40 | 101.122 | 4.53% | 1.00% | 3.53% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |
| 2026-07-07 | 162.097 | $4172.40 | 100.855 | 4.48% | 1.00% | 3.48% | High risk: watch Japan intervention |